欢迎来到地球村
想象一下,你站在一个超级大的操场上,四周望去都是人。爸爸、妈妈、爷爷、奶奶、叔叔、阿姨、小伙伴们——多得数都数不清!这时老师问你:“这个操场上一共有多少人呀?”你可能会挠挠头,说:“哇,好多好多,多到我都数不过来啦!”
Now, imagine you are standing in a super huge playground. People are everywhere—dads, moms, grandpas, grandmas, uncles, aunts, friends, and more! If your teacher asked you, "How many people are on this playground?" you might scratch your head and say, "Wow, so many! I can't even count them all!"
可是,如果我告诉你,刚才那个操场上的人,连地球上所有人的一根小指头都比不上呢?你是不是会瞪大眼睛,嘴巴张成一个大大的O型?没错!今天,我们就要一起踏上一个小小的冒险,去认识一个你可能从来没认真想过的问题——
But what if I told you that all the people on that playground can't even compare to one tiny finger of everyone on Earth? Would your eyes go wide? Would your mouth form a big O? That's right! Today, we're going on a little adventure together to explore a question you might never have really thought about before—
地球上有多少人?
How many people live on our Earth?
这个问题听起来简单极了,对不对?地球上有多少人?谁不知道呀!可是当你真正开始思考的时候,你会发现这个问题其实超级超级有意思,而且答案会让你大吃一惊!
This question sounds super simple, right? How many people live on Earth? Everyone knows that! But when you really start to think about it, you'll discover this question is actually incredibly, incredibly interesting—and the answer will surprise you!
让我们先来做一个小小的游戏。拿出你的小手,数一数你的手指头。一、二、三、四、五——一共是五根手指头对吧?现在想象一下,如果把地球上所有人都召集到一个超级大的广场上,然后让大家手拉手站成一排。你觉得,这条人链能有多长呢?
Let's play a little game first. Hold up your little hand and count your fingers. One, two, three, four, five—that's five fingers, right? Now imagine if we gathered everyone on Earth to a super huge square and had everyone hold hands in one long line. How long do you think this human chain would be?
地球可大可大了,它的“腰”——也就是赤道——绕一圈有四万多公里呢!四万公里是多少?你骑自行车从家到学校可能要十分钟吧?那四万公里,你得骑啊骑,骑呀骑,骑上一整年都骑不完呢!科学家叔叔阿姨们算过,如果把地球上的八十亿人都拉起手来,可以绕地球赤道大概四十圈!四十圈!你的手指头只有五根,而这条人链能绕四十个地球那么长!
Earth is really, really big! Its "waistline"—the equator—is about 40,000 kilometers all the way around. How far is 40,000 kilometers? If you bike from home to school, that takes about ten minutes, right? Well, 40,000 kilometers... you'd have to keep biking and biking, biking all year long and still not finish! Scientists have calculated that if all 8 billion people on Earth held hands in a line, we could wrap around the Earth's equator about forty times! Forty times! You only have five fingers, but this human chain could circle the Earth forty times!
听到这里,你是不是觉得有点不可思议?别急,让我们再来玩一个数字游戏。这个数字叫“八十亿”。八——十——亿,这三个字写起来很简单,但是你知道“八十亿”到底有多少吗?
Now you're probably thinking this is pretty unbelievable, right? But wait, let's play another number game. The number is "8 billion." Eight-billion... it's easy to write, but do you know how much "8 billion" really is?
让我们从一数起。一、二、三、四、五……你数得很快,一秒钟大概能数两个数字。如果你从出生那天开始就天天数,数啊数,数到你上完大学,可能才数到……一百万。一百万比八十亿少多了,少了多少呢?少了好几十个“零”!
Let's start counting from one. One, two, three, four, five... you can count pretty fast, maybe two numbers per second. If you started counting the day you were born and kept counting every single day until you finished college, you might count to... one million. One million is way less than 8 billion—less by dozens and dozens of zeros!
如果你想数到八十亿呢?那你得从恐龙灭绝的那时候开始数!对,就是六千五百万年前!那可比你爷爷的爷爷的爷爷……还要老老老老老多得多的时间啦!
And if you wanted to count to 8 billion? You'd have to start counting from when the dinosaurs went extinct! That's 65 million years ago! That's way, way older than your great-great-great-grandfather times hundreds of millions!
现在你明白了吧?八十亿真的是一个超级超级大的数字。大到什么程度呢?如果八十亿人排成一列纵队,一个挨着一个往前走,从你家的门口出发,那这条队伍可以从地球一直排到月亮上去!还能从月亮排回来,再排到月亮上去,一趟又一趟,总共能排七趟那么多!想象一下那画面,是不是觉得既有趣又有点疯狂?
Now you understand, right? 8 billion is an incredibly, incredibly huge number. How huge? If 8 billion people lined up in a single file line from your front door, this line would stretch all the way from Earth to the Moon! And then it could go back from the Moon to Earth and then to the Moon again—a total of seven round trips! Just imagine that scene—isn't it both fun and a little bit crazy?
好啦,现在你已经对“八十亿”这个数字有了一点点感觉。但是你知道吗?这八十亿人,分布在地球的各个角落。他们说着不同的语言,吃着不同的食物,穿着不同的衣服,有着不同的肤色和不同的梦想。有的住在高高的雪山上,有的住在热热的海边;有的家里养着小猫小狗,有的家里养着大大的牛羊。
Okay, now you've got a tiny sense of how big "8 billion" is. But did you know? These 8 billion people are spread across every corner of Earth. They speak different languages, eat different foods, wear different clothes, have different skin colors, and dream different dreams. Some live on high, snowy mountains. Some live by hot, sunny beaches. Some families have little cats and dogs at home. Some families raise big cows and sheep.
有的小朋友住在有很多很多高楼大厦的大城市里,出门坐地铁,逛街去商场;有的小朋友住在小小的村子里,出门就是绿绿的田野,抬头就能看到满天星星的夜空。有的人喜欢吃辣辣的火锅,有的人喜欢甜甜的冰激凌,有的人每天喝着热热的茶,有的人则喜欢冰凉的牛奶。
Some kids live in big cities with tons of tall buildings. They take the subway and go shopping at malls. Some kids live in small villages surrounded by green fields. They look up and see starry night skies full of twinkling stars. Some people love spicy hot pot. Some people love sweet ice cream. Some people drink hot tea every day. Some prefer cold milk.
正是因为有这么多不一样的人,我们的世界才变得如此有趣、如此精彩!就像一个大大的花园里,有各种各样的花,有的红、有的黄、有的紫、有的蓝,每一朵都不同,但它们一起,才构成了世界上最美丽的花园。
It's precisely because there are so many different people that our world is so interesting and wonderful! Just like a big garden with all kinds of flowers—some red, some yellow, some purple, some blue. Each one is different, but together they make the most beautiful garden in the world!
那么,什么是人口学呢?
So, what is demography?
好啦好啦,小探险家,你已经准备好继续往前走了吗?在我们的冒险旅途中,你将会遇到一个神奇的名词——“人口学”。听起来是不是有点严肃、有点吓人?别担心,其实它一点都不神秘,就像它的名字一样,人口学就是研究“人口”的学问。
Okay, okay, little explorer, are you ready to keep going on our adventure? Along our journey, you'll encounter a magical word—demography. Doesn't it sound a bit serious, maybe even scary? Don't worry—it's not mysterious at all. Just as the name suggests, demography is the study of "population."
“人口”这两个字,“人”就是我们每一个活生生的人,有鼻子有眼睛,会哭会笑会跑会跳;“口”就是嘴巴,不过在“人口”这个词里,“口”不是指你吃东西的那个嘴巴,而是用来“数数”的单位。就像你可以说“我们家有五口人”,意思是你们家有五个人。
The word "population" is made up of two characters in Chinese. "Ren" (人) means each of us—real, breathing people with noses and eyes, who cry and laugh and run and jump. "Kou" (口) means mouth, but in "population," it doesn't mean the mouth you eat with. Instead, it's a word for counting—like when you say "There are five people in our family," it means five people total.
所以“人口”就是“人的数量”的意思。而研究怎么数人、为什么人数会变多或变少、人都住在哪里、人为什么会搬家……这些有趣问题的学问,就是“人口学”啦!
So "population" means "the number of people." And the study of how to count people, why numbers go up or down, where people live, why people move... that's what we call demography!
打个比方,人口学就像是一面超级厉害的魔法镜子。这面镜子能够告诉我们:这个世界上有多少人,他们是男是女、是老是少,他们住在哪里,他们是怎么生活的,以前有多少人,以后会有多少人……哇,人口学真的好厉害呀!
Think of it this way—demography is like a super-powerful magic mirror. This mirror can tell us: how many people are on Earth, whether they're boys or girls, old or young, where they live, how they live, how many people there used to be, how many there will be in the future... Wow, demography is really amazing!
为什么要学习人口学呢?
Why should we learn about demography?
小探险家,你可能会问:“为什么我一个小学生要学这个呢?这不是大人们才需要知道的事情吗?”
Little explorer, you might be wondering: "Why do I, an elementary school kid, need to learn this? Isn't this something only adults need to know?"
哈哈,其实呀,人口学跟你的生活可有关系啦!想象一下,如果明天学校突然来了好多好多新同学,你的教室能坐得下吗?食堂会不会变得很挤很挤?操场上的秋千还够不够玩?
Ha ha, actually, demography has a lot to do with your life! Imagine if tomorrow a whole bunch of new classmates came to your school. Could your classroom fit everyone? Would the cafeteria get super crowded? Would there still be enough swings on the playground?
再想象一下,你生活的城市里,人越来越多、越来越多,汽车也越来越多,空气会不会变得不那么清新了?房价会不会越来越贵?这些问题,其实都跟“人口”有关系。
Or imagine this—in your city, more and more people are moving in, more and more cars are on the roads. Would the air still be fresh and clean? Would housing prices keep going up? These questions are all connected to "population."
知道人口学有什么好处呢?它能帮助大人们——城市的市长、学校的校长、医院的院长、公司的老板——做更好的决定。比如:需要建多少学校?需要多少医生?公园要建在哪里最方便大家?这些问题,都需要了解有多少人、人在哪里、人的年龄怎么样……
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